References
References
Paap, R., R. Segers, and D. van Dijk (2009), Do Leading Indicators Lead Peaks More Than Troughs?, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27, 528-543. First version avaiable as Econometric Institute Report 2007-08.
Related Websites
- The NBER's US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions
- The Conference Board
- Economic Cycle Research Institute
- Recession probabilities by Marcelle Chauvet
- Recession probabilities by Jeremy Piger
- Recession probabilities by Benoit Bellone
- Econbrowser's recession probability index by James Hamilton and Menzie Chinn
- Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index
- Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research (CGBCR) Business Cycle Forecasts
- Wall Street Journal Economic Forecasting Survey
- Trading recession probabilities on Intrade
